The aniline industry is in a downturn
Release time:
2023-02-07
At present, domestic aniline production capacity is about 3.1 million tons, of which the capacity of downstream MDI equipment is 1.16 million tons, accounting for 37% of the total capacity, while the remaining capacity is used for commodity sales. At present, the main use of domestic aniline is to produce MDI, which accounts for about 60% of the aniline consumption structure. In the global consumption structure of aniline, MDI production accounts for more than 80%. Other uses of aniline in China include the production of rubber auxiliaries, the manufacture of a range of antioxidants and accelerators, dyes, pharmaceuticals and pesticide intermediates. Some of the commercial aniline is still used for the production of MDI. According to statistics, the MDI capacity without aniline is about 900,000 tons/year. According to the calculation of 1 ton of MDI, 0.78 tons of aniline is consumed. The production of this part of MDI requires about 70% of aniline. 10,000 tons / year, the remaining 1.25 million tons / year of production capacity needs to rely on rubber additives, dyes, pharmaceuticals and pesticide intermediates to digest, which will obviously be surplus.
At present, China's aniline industry is transparent in price and shrinks in profits. Under the circumstance of sluggish market, factories are unlikely to reach a consensus on capacity reduction. However, in the future, supply-side reform will lead to a new round of mergers and reorganizations. The backward production capacity will be eliminated, and the essence of the industry will be further concentrated.
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